England vs Australia Match Prediction – 4th Test
The 4th Test of the Ashes 2025–26 will see Australia take on England starting Thursday, December 25, 2025, at the iconic Melbourne Cricket Ground (MCG), Melbourne. The match is scheduled to begin at 10:30 AM local time and is expected to be a defining contest in the series, given the historical importance and scale of the Boxing Day Test.
Australia enter this Test under the leadership of Pat Cummins, carrying strong momentum at home. Their bowling attack is well balanced, featuring the pace trio of Mitchell Starc, Scott Boland, and Michael Neser, supported by seam options like Brendan Doggett, with Nathan Lyon leading the spin department. Australia’s batting unit is built around proven Test performers such as Usman Khawaja, Marnus Labuschagne, Steven Smith, and Travis Head, while Cameron Green provides crucial all-round depth. Wicketkeeping duties will be shared by Alex Carey and Josh Inglis, ensuring stability behind the stumps.
England, captained by Ben Stokes, arrive with an aggressive and resilient Test squad. Their batting lineup is anchored by Joe Root, alongside attacking openers Zak Crawley and Ben Duckett, with Ollie Pope and Harry Brook adding middle-order firepower. All-round options like Will Jacks and Jacob Bethell offer flexibility. England’s bowling unit is pace-heavy, featuring Jofra Archer, Gus Atkinson, Josh Tongue, Matthew Potts, Brydon Carse, and Matthew Fisher, while Shoaib Bashir handles spin duties. Jamie Smith is expected to take charge as wicketkeeper.
The MCG pitch traditionally offers bounce and carry for fast bowlers early, before flattening out to reward disciplined batting. Managing long spells, capitalizing on the new ball, and maintaining control across five days will be decisive factors. Weather and crowd pressure at the Boxing Day Test often add an extra psychological edge.
Expert Prediction: Australia have a 58% winning chance, while England hold a 42% chance.
Disclaimer: This video expresses the author’s personal insights and analysis. We encourage readers to consider the points discussed and draw their own conclusions.
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