Pakistan tour of Bangladesh 2026 | BAN vs PAK 1st Test Match Prediction – Who Will Win Bangladesh vs Pakistan match?

Bangladesh vs Pakistan Match Prediction – 1st Test

The 1st Test of the Pakistan tour of Bangladesh 2026 will see Bangladesh take on Pakistan on Friday, May 8, at Shere Bangla National Stadium, Dhaka. The match is scheduled to begin at 9:30 AM local time (3:30 AM GMT / 8:30 PM PT / 11:30 PM ET).

Bangladesh enter this Test match with a strong home squad led by Najmul Hossain Shanto. Their batting lineup includes Mahmudul Hasan Joy, Shadman Islam, Mominul Haque Showrab, Mushfiqur Rahim, Litton Kumer Das, Tanzid Hasan, and Amite Hasan. With experienced players like Mushfiqur Rahim, Mominul Haque, and Litton Das, Bangladesh have good stability in the middle order, while Shanto gives the side leadership and calm batting presence.

Bangladesh’s all-round strength will be important in home conditions. Mehidy Hasan Miraz is a key player because he can contribute with both bat and ball, especially on a Dhaka surface that often helps spin. His role in the middle order and as a frontline spinner can be very important against Pakistan’s batting lineup.

Bangladesh’s bowling attack has a good mix of spin and pace. Taijul Islam, Nayeem Hasan, and Mehidy Hasan Miraz give Bangladesh strong spin options, while Ebadot Hossain Chowdhury, Shoriful Islam, Taskin Ahmed, and Nahid Rana provide pace and reverse-swing potential. In Dhaka, Bangladesh’s spinners could play a major role, especially from Day 3 onward if the pitch starts to break.

Pakistan come into this contest with a talented and experienced Test squad led by Shan Masood. Their batting lineup includes Abdullah Fazal, Azan Awais, Babar Azam, Imam-ul-Haq, Mohammad Rizwan, Salman Ali Agha, and Saud Shakeel. With Babar Azam, Imam-ul-Haq, Saud Shakeel, and Rizwan in the lineup, Pakistan have strong batting depth and the ability to build long innings.

Pakistan’s middle order looks solid, with Saud Shakeel and Salman Ali Agha offering patience, technique, and control in longer formats. Mohammad Rizwan’s wicketkeeping and batting will also be important, especially if Pakistan need to counter spin in tough conditions.

Pakistan’s bowling attack looks dangerous and experienced. Shaheen Shah Afridi, Hasan Ali, Khurram Shahzad, Mohammad Abbas, and Amad Butt give Pakistan strong pace options, while Noman Ali and Sajid Khan provide quality spin support. Shaheen’s new-ball threat and Abbas’ accuracy can test Bangladesh early, while Noman and Sajid may become more effective as the Dhaka pitch wears down.

The Shere Bangla National Stadium pitch in Dhaka usually supports spinners as the Test match progresses. Batting can be easier in the first innings if players apply themselves, but the surface may become slower and lower over time. Spinners, reverse swing, and disciplined batting will be key factors in this match. A first-innings score of around 300–350 can be very competitive at this venue.

Expert Prediction: Pakistan have 52% chance and Bangladesh have 48% winning chance.