ICC Mens T20 World Cup 2026 | New Zealand vs Sri Lanka Match Prediction | 46th Match Super 8 Group 2- Who Will Win NZ vs SL match?

New Zealand vs Sri Lanka – 46th Match Super 8 Group 2 (Y2 v Y4)

The 46th match of Super 8 Group 2 (Y2 v Y4) in the ICC Mens T20 World Cup 2026 will see New Zealand take on Sri Lanka on Wednesday, February 25, 2026, at the R. Premadasa Stadium, Colombo. The match is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM local time (1:30 PM GMT).

New Zealand enter this Super 8 night clash with a strong and well-balanced squad. Their batting lineup is led by Devon Conway, Finn Allen, Rachin Ravindra, Glenn Phillips, providing a solid top order and explosive middle-order firepower. Mark Chapman, Daryl Mitchell, and Tim Seifert add depth and finishing ability.

In the bowling department, New Zealand boast a high-quality attack featuring Lockie Ferguson, Matt Henry, Kyle Jamieson, Mitchell Santner (c), Ish Sodhi, offering excellent pace and world-class spin options well-suited to Colombo night conditions.

Sri Lanka come into this match with a powerful home side carrying strong momentum. Their batting unit includes Pathum Nissanka, Kusal Mendis, Kusal Perera, Charith Asalanka, providing a solid top order and explosive middle-order acceleration. Kamindu Mendis, Dasun Shanaka (c), and Janith Liyanage add all-round depth and aggression.

Sri Lanka’s bowling attack is led by Maheesh Theekshana, Wanindu Hasaranga (assumed key despite not listed), Matheesha Pathirana, Dushmantha Chameera, Pramod Madushan, offering world-class spin dominance and sharp pace options ideally suited to home night conditions.

The R. Premadasa Stadium pitch in Colombo typically offers good turn and grip from the outset, assisting spinners significantly throughout the game, with some early help for pacers due to bounce and seam. In evening games under lights, dew plays a major role in the second innings, making chasing considerably easier and strongly favoring the team batting second. Batters can play freely once set, and a first-innings total of around 150–175 is generally considered competitive at this venue in T20Is.

Expert Prediction: Sri Lanka have 62% chance and New Zealand have 38% winning chance.

Disclaimer: This video expresses the author’s personal insights and analysis. We encourage readers to consider the points discussed and draw their own conclusions.

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