Burnley vs Everton Prediction | Premier League 2025/26 | EPL Prediction | Dec 27 – Can 19th-Placed Burnley Pile Misery on Sliding Everton?

Turf Moor prepares for a grim post-Christmas battle as the hosts fight for their Premier League lives against a resolute mid-table side. The stakes couldn’t be higher for the home side, who are currently firmly entrenched in the relegation zone. The Clarets enter this desperation derby reeling from a disastrous run of seven consecutive league defeats, a sequence that has drained confidence from the stands to the dugout. On the flip side, the visitors arrive with mixed fortunes, having split their last four games evenly between wins and losses.

Burnley vs Everton Match Details at a Glance

Injury News and Suspensions

Burnley

Scott Parker’s task is made infinitely harder by a depleted squad. Hannibal Mejbri is suspended, removing a key engine from the midfield. The defensive line is particularly battered, with Bashir Humphreys (muscle) and Connor Roberts (knee) both targeting a late December return, though this game might come too soon. Center-back Jordan Beyer remains out until mid-January 2026.

Everton

David Moyes is also navigating significant selection headaches. Defensive stalwart Jarrad Branthwaite is sidelined with a hamstring injury until mid-January 2026, a major loss for the backline. There is also a confusing situation regarding Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall; while listed with a hamstring injury until mid-January, he appears in the provisional squad list, suggesting a late fitness test or a data conflict.

Burnley vs Everton Head-to-Head Records

Form Guide

Burnley

The alarm bells aren’t just ringing at Turf Moor; they are being smashed with a hammer. Sitting 19th in the table as of December 20, 2025, the Clarets are in a tailspin. Seven straight defeats highlight a team that has forgotten how to compete for 90 minutes. Under Parker, the focus has been on defensive structure and physical presence, but the execution has been lacking. Their primary weakness is glaring: a complete lack of goalscoring threat. They struggle to transition from their deep defensive shape into anything resembling an attack, often leaving forwards isolated.

Everton

The Toffees, conversely, are sitting in a respectable ninth place. Life under David Moyes is rarely thrilling, but it is effective. Their recent form has been a mixed bag of two wins and two losses, but the identity is clear. They prioritize defensive structure, resilience, and a phenomenal work ethic. The addition of Jack Grealish has added a layer of stardust to their direct attacking play, which still heavily relies on crosses and set-pieces.

Burnley vs Everton Key Battles

Axel Tuanzebe vs Iliman Ndiaye

Based on the players available, a likely key duel will take place in the center of the pitch. Axel Tuanzebe has been one of the few reliable figures in Burnley’s backline. His physical strength and recovery pace are essential for a team that spends so much time defending. He will be tasked with tracking Iliman Ndiaye, the Everton playmaker. Ndiaye is the link between the Toffees’ midfield and attack, capable of dropping deep or running in behind.

Armando Broja vs Jake O’Brien

At the other end, the battle between Armando Broja and Jake O’Brien could decide if the hosts get on the scoresheet. Broja is the focal point of Parker’s attack, a physical striker who thrives on chaos and hold-up play. He needs to bully the defenders to create space for runners like Bruun Larsen. O’Brien, listed as a key defensive player for Moyes, represents the aerial dominance Everton is famous for. He will look to suffocate Broja, denying him the time to turn. If Broja can isolate O’Brien and use his pace, he might find joy.

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Burnley vs Everton Tactical Outlook

Scott Parker is likely to set up in a rigid, low-block formation, prioritizing numbers behind the ball to stop the bleeding of recent weeks. With Cullen and Ugochukwu patrolling the midfield, the plan will be to disrupt Everton’s rhythm and look for long balls into Broja. The hosts will try to force the game wide and trust Estève and Tuanzebe to deal with crosses, though their confidence in doing so is currently rock bottom.

David Moyes will counter this with a system that is comfortable having the ball but prefers quick, direct attacks. With Pickford likely launching counters and Grealish drifting inside from the flank, Everton will look to overload the wide areas. Gueye and Garner provide the midfield security that allows the full-backs to push up. The Toffees will likely target Burnley’s set-piece defending, knowing that physical superiority in the box is one of their biggest assets against a fragile confidence team.

Burnley vs Everton Possible Playing Squad

Burnley XI: 

Dubravka (GK), Estève, Tuanzebe, Ekdal, Hartman, Cullen, Florentino, Ugochukwu, Bruun Larsen, Foster, Broja

Everton XI:

Pickford (GK), Tarkowski, Keane, O’Brien, Mykolenko, Gueye, Garner, Barry, Dewsbury-Hall, Ndiaye, Grealish

Burnley vs Everton Match Prediction

It is incredibly difficult to make a case for the home side given their current trajectory. While Turf Moor can be a hostile environment, the toxicity of seven straight losses usually works against the hosts. Everton are the masters of the “professional performance” under Moyes. Expect a gritty, somewhat ugly game where set-pieces play a massive role, but the visitors should have enough organization to compound Parker’s misery.

Score Prediction

Burnley 0–2 Everton; The Toffees’ defensive organization and set-piece threat will likely prove too much for a toothless Clarets side devoid of confidence.

Disclaimer: This Football prediction is based on the author’s insights and analysis. Readers should consider the points discussed and draw their own conclusions.